I’ve noticed a logic that lots of organisations apply to hiring, that tends to go like this: conditions are uncertain, business confidence is low, we’re feeling cautious, so let’s hold off on recruitment.
Given the last five years or so here in Aotearoa, that’s not an unreasonable instinct. Most businesses have had to navigate shifting demand, ongoing volatility, and an unpredictable economic environment, so it’s understandable that they’re cautious.
But as uncertainty becomes the norm rather than the exception, we need to be prepared to move within that uncertainty, rather than waiting for the perfect moment. Staying in a holding pattern for too long carries its own risks.
In my decade of experience, the organisations that perform best in uncertain markets are the ones that plan early and stay ready. This blog explores why that matters, and what you can do about it now.
Our 2026 Employment Market Report (EMR), which draws on survey responses from over 2,300 employers and employees across New Zealand, shows that there’s a consistent gap between how many employers plan to hire, and how many actually do.
For example, in 2024, 81% of employers expected to hire at the start of the year, but by the end of the year, 95% had hired. The same trend played out again in 2025, where only 69% of employers intended to hire, but 95% actually ended up hiring.
So what does this tell us? Even if you’re not currently planning to hire, you might still end up needing to hire, which is why it’s important to be prepared. It also points to increasing competition – with 83% of employers already intending to hire in 2026, many organisations will be in market at the same time.
And while there may be plenty of candidates available, finding the right person is still a challenge. According to the EMR, the number one barrier to securing talent in 2026 is the limited supply of qualified, experienced professionals, particularly in specialist roles. Identifying candidates with the right combination of technical capability, experience, and soft skills still takes time.
It’s not uncommon for us to get a call from a client who needs someone super urgently – no pipeline, no lead time, just an immediate gap to fill. We always do what we can to help, and the outcome can still be great, but these moments tend to highlight how much easier (and more effective) hiring is with a bit of forward planning.
Regardless of how good your recruiter is, last-minute hiring puts pressure on every part of the process. It limits options, shortens timelines, and makes it harder to properly assess fit, especially for senior, specialist, and leadership roles.
There’s also a broader cost to being reactive. When key roles sit vacant, teams carry the extra load. Projects slow down, deadlines slip, and the risk of making a rushed or compromised hire increases.
At the same time, the strain on remaining employees can lead to burnout, and people might start looking elsewhere. In a market where lots of employees are already open to moving roles (as highlighted by data in the EMR), losing key people without a plan to replace them can quickly turn one gap into several – not ideal!
Shifting from reactive hiring to a more strategic approach doesn’t have to be complex, but it does require some upfront thinking. At its core, it starts with clarity: what is your business trying to achieve, and do you have the people and capability to deliver on it?
When you take the time to step back and plan, it becomes much easier to anticipate needs, reduce risk, and move quickly when opportunities arise. Here are some practical ways to get started:
Uncertainty isn’t going away, but the way organisations respond to it can change. Those that take a more deliberate, forward-looking approach to hiring are better equipped to move when it matters.
And being prepared doesn’t mean overcommitting, it just means understanding your gaps and risks, and planning in advance. Whether hiring is a priority or not, being prepared gives you options, and having options gives you an advantage.
If you’re looking for practical insights to support that planning, the 2026 Employment Market Report brings together data, salary benchmarks, and trends from across New Zealand. You can download it here. And if a conversation would help bring this to life for your business, our team is always here to support.